IMF Maintains Global Growth Forecasts but Warns of Middle East Conflict Risks

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has kept its global growth forecasts broadly unchanged at 3% for 2026 and 3.4% for 2027, despite months of conflict in the Middle East. However, the IMF warned that downside risks remain significant, particularly that renewed conflict in the region could reignite commodity price volatility, tighten financial conditions, and worsen food insecurity in low-income countries.